Harvest Moon and the Weather  

Posted by Stan Harrington

Tonight, cloud cover permitting, you will have the opportunity to view a true "Harvest Moon". A full moon at this time of the year, has been referred to as a "Harvest Moon" because at one time the farmers would harvest their crops throughout the night. The full moon tonight is special, in the fact that due to it's present position, it will be 12% larger than the typical full moon.

The full moon is also the time of the month that we always experience our largest tides, this month is no exception. This is a weather alert for the lower Kenai Peninsula and possible "bore tide" sighting in the area of Turnagain Arm. We have the potential of seeing the sea scape in Anchor Point and Homer take a drastic change over the weekend. I have spent this rainy day tabulating data, if the National Weather Service, Alaska Region is correct in their predictions, it could be a very interesting weekend if two factors collide in sequence.

The Marine Forecast for Lower Cook Inlet on Saturday calls for SE wind increasing to 25 knots on Saturday with seas to 8 feet. On Sunday, the wind will increase out of the NE at 35 knots and the seas will build to 14 feet. On Monday, the wind will switch to easterly 40 knots and seas building to sixteen feet. This severe weather pattern on Saturday and Sunday will coincide with some extreme high tides. Anchor Point and Homer will experience the largest tides that we have seen in the past five years. On Saturday, in Anchor Point the high tide will occur at 3:42 pm at 23.4 feet. The following low tide will occur at 9:50 pm, a low of minus 4.3 feet. That is an exchange of 27.70 feet of water in a period of six hours or a drop of 4.62 feet of water per hour. On Sunday, with a forecast of seas to 14 feet, the high tide will be a 23.6 foot tide at 4:18 p.m. dropping to a low tide of minus 4.6 feet. The exchange will be 28.2 feet of water, a drop of 4.7 feet per hour. If you recall, my rebuttal pertaining to those large waves that raised havoc with the Antarctica iceberg, which supposedly traveled at 57 mph. You will be happy to know that despite these large tidal exchanges that we will see in Cook Inlet, at five miles NW of Anchor Point, the tidal current will be 3.1 to 3.5 knots. We will be at the Anchor Point Beach on Saturday and Sunday, I am sure we are going to be seeing some major changes at the mouth of the Anchor River. If the weather and tides coincide, we also have the potential to see a change in the sea scape of the Homer Spit.
For those living in the LA area, you may want to pack up the little ones and park along Turnagain Arm. The high tide on Saturday will be at 7:58 am at 32.8 feet and again at 8:08 pm with a height of 33.3 feet. On Sunday, the high tide will be at 8:44am at 32.9 feet and again at 8:45 pm with a 33.7 foot tide. This particular tide, will have an exchange of 35.5 feet of water, or a drop of 5.92 feet per hour. If you do not see a bore tide on one of these four tides, they are indeed a fallacy and do not exist. Good Luck in your beach combing.

This entry was posted on October 6, 2006 at Friday, October 06, 2006 . You can follow any responses to this entry through the comments feed .

8 comments

It will be interesting to see if your predictions are correct....but did you think if these LA folks go out the Arm that it will still be dark? and we won't able able to see anything.

10/6/06, 10:48 PM

The big tides are during the day, at least down south where we live. Maybe the harvest moon will be enough light. Although, I believe it must be light at 8 am and 8pm, even in LA

10/7/06, 12:29 AM

If adequate research had been done on bore tides of Turagain Arm, one would realize the best sightings and largest waves to ride (which lots of people do) occur during the "medium" tidal exchanges due to the turn-around time of ocean influence. Where the new, or full, moons at larger water exchanges add to the factor, it does not necessarily mean a larger wave. When you sit out there to watch it, bring a camera for lots of pics. Be careful, though, as the water level on in-coming tides can raise 2 feet per minute! Wax your boards!

10/7/06, 8:05 AM

Bore tides happen when the tide changes...and the water reenters the arm...IF high tide is at 8 this should happen around 5or 6 I would think.

10/7/06, 8:05 AM

In a nutshell, if you sit there for 12 hours, you are going to see something!

10/7/06, 10:34 AM

It is coming, the weather reeport now matches up with the Marine forecast, inthe LA area including the east side, wind warnings are in effect - winds 50 to 65 phd with higher gusts. here inthe village, they are calling for 40 - 50 knot winds - currently under ehavier rain than you are seeing in LA - I ove a good storm! Might even be good for the video business:)

10/7/06, 11:08 AM

cuse my spellling but you can piece it together - I have to hurry before we loose elctric power and I have to go to work, got a shift today, got to have some coffee, eat lunch, play with the dogs, wash the truck irion a shirt, put on a pot roast, make a pie, shave and shower - can't talk hno moere, got to go

10/7/06, 11:11 AM

A check at the beach at 1600 today, surf was about three foot high, but wind is now picking up. the high tide did breach the beach and flow intothe river at the poinht where the beach road hits the high bank, at the scumbag hole, could not tell from a distance how much gravel it took out.

10/7/06, 5:20 PM

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